Probabilistic Examination of All Paths in Building of a House Stochastic Project
Path |
Optimistic duration |
Pessimistic duration |
Mean value of path duration |
Variance |
Standard deviation |
Probability that the path (project) will be completed in 260 days |
Probability that the path (project) will be completed in 270 days |
Probability that the path (project) will not be completed within 270 days |
Critical path |
195,4 |
287,9 |
266,5 |
69,59027 |
8,3420783 |
0,2179360 |
0,6625964 |
0,3374036 |
D2-B-C-E-H |
180,4 |
292,9 |
239 |
178,5347 |
13,361688 |
0,9419850 |
0,9898313 |
0,0101686 |
D1-A-C-D-F-G-H |
138,2 |
192,4 |
178,8 |
27,35388 |
5,2300939 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
D1-A-C-E-H |
123,2 |
197,4 |
151,3 |
136,2983 |
11,674687 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
Project |
195,4 |
287,9 |
- - - |
- - - |
- - - |
0,2052925 |
0,6558587 |
0,3441413 |